UFC Shanghai: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 29, 2026 · Flyweight

Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas prediction

Rei Tsuruya
Winner pick
74%
Confidence
Decision
Method lean
Upcoming
Status
💬 Open Fight Chat

Prediction

Market snapshot on Aug. 24: Tsuruya roughly -600 to -650, Borjas roughly +450 to +500. Tsuruya's wrestling chains, control game and pace give him a reliable route to winning rounds without needing to dominate every striking exchange. Borjas has already shown he can upset talented prospects, so the FightLedger confidence is lower than the raw market price suggests.

Key edges

  • Wrestling chains
  • Top control
  • Pace

What could go wrong?

Borjas is the more dangerous upset striker and can punish Tsuruya if the grappling entries become loose or repetitive.

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Locked pick record

This prediction was published before the fight and is intended to remain in the archive after the result. Record ID: 1F29EE7B1CF7. Results should be added without rewriting the original call.

Independent analysis. Not affiliated with UFC or any fight promotion. This is not gambling advice.