August 29, 2026
UFC Shanghai: Nurmagomedov vs. Song predictions
FightLedger's full 13-fight prediction card with winner picks, confidence scores and method leans. Each matchup links to its individual breakdown and Fight Chat.
LocationOriental Sports Center, Shanghai, China
Prelims3:00 AM ET
Main card6:00 AM ET
Card reviewedAugust 27, 2026
Highest confidence
FightLedger's strongest leans
Full card
All 13 predictions
| Matchup | FightLedger pick | Confidence | Method lean |
|---|---|---|---|
| Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song YadongBantamweight | Umar Nurmagomedov | 80% | Decision |
| Bilal Hasan vs Nilson RojasFlyweight | Bilal Hasan | 77% | TKO |
| Aoriqileng vs Kai AsakuraBantamweight | Kai Asakura | 74% | TKO |
| Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin BorjasFlyweight | Rei Tsuruya | 74% | Decision |
| Lawrence Lui vs Hector SantiagoBantamweight | Lawrence Lui | 69% | Decision |
| Andre Lima vs Namsrai BatbayarFlyweight | Andre Lima | 67% | Decision |
| Xiao Long vs Francesco NuzziBantamweight | Xiao Long | 64% | Decision |
| Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Liu CeLight Heavyweight | Liu Ce | 63% | TKO |
| Xiong Jingnan vs Julia PolastriWomen's Strawweight | Julia Polastri | 62% | Decision |
| Alex Perez vs SumudaerjiFlyweight | Sumudaerji | 61% | Decision |
| Yan Xiaonan vs Denise GomesWomen's Strawweight | Yan Xiaonan | 59% | Decision |
| Jack Jenkins vs Sean WoodsonFeatherweight | Sean Woodson | 56% | Decision |
| Ding Meng vs Cam NelsonWelterweight | Cam Nelson | 52% | Decision |
How FightLedger uses confidence
Confidence measures the strength of the matchup lean, not certainty. Higher numbers mean FightLedger sees a clearer path for the selected fighter; lower numbers flag fights with more credible ways for either side to win.
Read the full methodology →