Morgan Charrière vs Felipe Lima prediction
Card reviewed August 27, 2026. Pick and confidence remain on the pre-fight record.
Felipe Lima · 64%
Moderate lean — this matchup has enough uncertainty to keep confidence in the middle range.
Prediction
Market snapshot on Aug. 24: Lima roughly -185 to -193, Charrière roughly +161 to +168. Lima gets the pick because his pressure, athleticism and ability to blend striking with grappling should help him bank competitive rounds. Charrière has the home crowd, good power and strong takedown defense, but Lima's pace gives him more ways to keep scoring if the fight is close.
Market snapshot
Morgan Charrière +161 to +168 · Felipe Lima -185 to -193 (snapshot August 24, 2026)
Odds are historical snapshots for context and can move before the fight.Key matchup edges
- Pressure and pace
- Athleticism
- Mixed striking and grappling
What could go wrong?
Charrière is dangerous in open-space striking and can turn the crowd and momentum quickly if Lima struggles to establish pressure.
How to read this pick
FightLedger's confidence score is a matchup lean, not a guarantee. The winner pick, confidence and method lean are published before the bout, while the risk section records the clearest path that could break the prediction.
Locked pick record
This prediction was published before the fight and is intended to remain in the archive after the result. Record ID: C11739520DB7. Results should be added without rewriting the original call.
Independent analysis. Not affiliated with UFC or any fight promotion. This is not gambling advice.