UFC Shanghai: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 29, 2026 · Light Heavyweight · Oriental Sports Center, Shanghai, China

Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Liu Ce prediction

Card reviewed August 27, 2026. Pick and confidence remain on the pre-fight record.

Liu Ce
Winner pick
63%
Confidence
TKO
Method lean
Upcoming
Status
💬 Open Fight Chat
FightLedger verdict

Liu Ce · 63%

Moderate lean — this matchup has enough uncertainty to keep confidence in the middle range.

Prediction

Market snapshot on Aug. 24: Liu roughly -185 to -200, Rodrigues roughly +155 to +175. Liu gets the pick because of his kickboxing pedigree, size and cleaner range striking. Rodrigues is stepping in as a replacement and has dangerous knockout power, which keeps this from being a high-confidence selection.

Market snapshot

Levi Rodrigues Jr. +155 to +175 · Liu Ce -185 to -200 (snapshot August 24, 2026)

Odds are historical snapshots for context and can move before the fight.

Key matchup edges

  • Kickboxing experience
  • Size and range
  • Cleaner striking structure

What could go wrong?

Rodrigues is a powerful finisher and one chaotic exchange can erase Liu's technical advantages.

How to read this pick

FightLedger's confidence score is a matchup lean, not a guarantee. The winner pick, confidence and method lean are published before the bout, while the risk section records the clearest path that could break the prediction.

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Locked pick record

This prediction was published before the fight and is intended to remain in the archive after the result. Record ID: 4165C91C49DF. Results should be added without rewriting the original call.

Independent analysis. Not affiliated with UFC or any fight promotion. This is not gambling advice.