UFC Shanghai: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 29, 2026 · Flyweight · Oriental Sports Center, Shanghai, China

Bilal Hasan vs Nilson Rojas prediction

Card reviewed August 27, 2026. Pick and confidence remain on the pre-fight record.

Bilal Hasan
Winner pick
77%
Confidence
TKO
Method lean
Upcoming
Status
💬 Open Fight Chat
FightLedger verdict

Bilal Hasan · 77%

Strong FightLedger lean — one of the higher-confidence picks on the card.

Prediction

Market snapshot on Aug. 24: Hasan roughly -500, Rojas roughly +375. Hasan is an undefeated prospect coming off a 45-second Contender Series knockout and the market strongly favors his athleticism and finishing upside. Rojas is also unbeaten and has seven knockouts in nine wins, so the short turnaround for Hasan is the main reason not to push confidence even higher.

Market snapshot

Bilal Hasan -500 · Nilson Rojas +375 (snapshot August 24, 2026)

Odds are historical snapshots for context and can move before the fight.

Key matchup edges

  • Explosiveness
  • Recent finishing form
  • Athletic upside

What could go wrong?

Hasan is making an unusually quick turnaround, while Rojas is 9-0 with proven knockout power of his own.

How to read this pick

FightLedger's confidence score is a matchup lean, not a guarantee. The winner pick, confidence and method lean are published before the bout, while the risk section records the clearest path that could break the prediction.

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Locked pick record

This prediction was published before the fight and is intended to remain in the archive after the result. Record ID: F59DB8B37245. Results should be added without rewriting the original call.

Independent analysis. Not affiliated with UFC or any fight promotion. This is not gambling advice.